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by Prof. Dr.
Kai-Alexander Schlevogt
April 07, 2026
from
RT Website
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Prof. Dr.
Kai-Alexander Schlevogt
a globally
recognized expert in strategic leadership and economic
policy, who has served as Full University Professor at
the Graduate School of Management (GSOM), St. Petersburg
State University (Russia), where he held the
University-Endowed Chair in Strategic Leadership. He
also held professorships at the National University of
Singapore (NUS) and Peking University. |

The
US and Israel
are waging
a war of choice
with
global consequences:
eroding
norms, imperial decline,
and a
world tilting toward disorder...
Dark rumor has long held that the Roman emperor Nero set Rome ablaze
in search of inspiration for a song on the destruction of Troy.
Judicious historians and classicists dismiss this account as
apocryphal...
A Prosaic Arsonist in the White
House
Today, a powerful ruler, US President
Donald Trump, stands accused
not by rumor, but by unfolding reality.
The American leader himself
has struck the match, setting not only
Iran and the wider Gulf
region, but the entire world, alight, all at Israel's behest.
Trump
revels in the spectacle of fire on a grand scale, even as he shows
no inclination to transmute destruction into epic.
Seven systemic consequences, distinct yet interwoven, will
reverberate globally far beyond the contingencies of the present
conflict.
This holds true even were the US-Israeli war of choice
against Iran to cease forthwith.
For the visible toll in human
suffering and material destruction, grave as it is, constitutes only
the most immediate and tangible register of harm.
Beneath it lies a
deeper and less visible yet more insidious and enduring
transformation:
the erosion of norms, the enfeeblement of restraint,
and the gradual dislocation of an order once presumed resilient.
Forces long gathering beneath the surface have been violently
quickened; trajectories once gradual now race toward their
culmination.
What is currently set in motion most likely will come
to be remembered not as an episode among many, but as a threshold:
the point at which the long arc of American ascendancy bent
irreversibly toward its twilight.
1. Diminution
of America's Global Status
In the current age of viral geopolitics, the apt hashtag for the
US-Israeli war on Iran might be:
"Make America diminished again" (MADA).
The US, afflicted by imperial overstretch, persists in behaving as
an empire it can no longer sustain, thereby risking a long-term
reversion, at best, to a position reminiscent of the pre-First World
War era.
-
First, Trump is dismantling America's global alliances.
His conduct
signals to allies that alignment with the US entails,
exposure without protection...!
Gulf partners, not consulted by the US before the war, face
potential devastation from Iranian retaliatory strikes - a cost that
Trump, with remarkable selfishness and callousness, appears all too
willing to impose on his loyal allies.
European and Asian partners,
already strained by punitive American tariffs, are again harmed
despite opposing the war.
Given Trump's hostile action towards friends, it comes to no
surprise that core partners have hesitated to support the war by
providing bases; the response to Trump's calls for "teamwork" in
securing the Strait of Hormuz after the US and Israel had caused its
closure has been muted.
Subsequently, Trump even exhorted allies to
secure the desperately needed oil themselves, calling the massive
dislocations a small price to be paid for his "excursion" to Iran.
The pattern of America's betrayal, evident in its treatment of the
Kurds and Afghan allies alike, now extends system-wide.
Trust, the
foundation of alliance politics - above all the expectation that the
US will come to the aid of its allies - is broken; and once broken,
it is exceedingly difficult to restore.
As in a breach of marital
fidelity, the damage endures. Among other consequences, NATO itself
may collapse under the corrosive strain.
Remarkably, Trump even betrays his domestic allies, worsening their
prospects in the upcoming midterm elections by the day; global
partners will take note of how readily he abandons his friends.
-
Second, America's claim to act as a liberating force is profoundly
discredited. Iranian opposition figures who imprudently had placed
their hopes in the US, betraying their own country by inviting
foreign intervention, now confront a stark reality:
At Israel's
behest, Washington is devastating Iran in the dissidents' name,
killing thousands of innocent compatriots, including countless
children, through strikes on densely populated areas, while
dismantling the country's intellectual, cultural, and material
foundations - including heritage sites and water plants without any
military value - thereby precipitating a humanitarian catastrophe.
Trump asserts, implausibly, that Iranians welcome further
bombardment and acquiesce in their own suffering.
In reality, the
war will induce a classic "rally-around-the-flag" effect, prompting
Iranians to set aside internal divisions and unite in the face of
external threat, thereby strengthening the very state the enemies
sought to weaken.
-
Third, the war exposes and accelerates America's overextension,
precipitating its self-disarmament and undermining its global
deterrence.
The large-scale destruction of US bases in the Gulf has turned
strategic assets into liabilities, which may prompt host states to
expel American forces rather than remain exposed without credible
protection.
Similar foreign pressures for the US to close its bases
may emerge elsewhere, including in Europe and Asia, while the
worsening of America's fiscal situation, accelerated by the very
expensive war, increasingly renders the global military architecture
unsustainable even if political will should persist.
The sustained operations deplete American weapons and munitions,
with replenishment constrained by industrial limits and external
dependencies.
At the same time, the war highlights the effectiveness
of Iran's asymmetric capabilities against America's high-cost
platforms.
The cumulative effect is a visible erosion of American
deterrence: the gap between assumed and actual power narrows and
credibility diminishes, while Iran increased its deterrent
potential.
-
Fourth, the moral basis of US leadership is further weakened by
perceptions of double standards and opportunistic expediency.
A
state is attacked over alleged nuclear ambitions while a close
regional ally, Israel, retains undeclared capabilities, commits acts
of genocide, and continues to destabilize the world as a whole;
sovereignty is disregarded abroad even as foreign interference is
condemned at home.
Reports of market-sensitive signaling on
prediction markets, opportunistic rhetoric, and shifting
justifications deepen cynicism.
The result is not merely
reputational damage but strategic loss:
In an order where legitimacy
underwrites influence, the erosion of moral authority constrains
power itself.
2. Strengthening of Alternative
Power Ccenters in a Multicentric World
The US-Israeli war accelerates the transition toward a multicentric
world order, in which power diffuses away from a single hegemon
toward several sovereign centers.
In this shifting landscape, the
principal beneficiaries are Russia and China, both positioned at the
core of this emerging configuration.
Through a contrast effect, the US appears increasingly as a
destabilizing force, its missteps amplifying the appeal of
alternative models and strengthening the strategic position of
adversaries.
In operational terms, rivals need only observe a
familiar maxim:
Never interrupt an adversary in the midst of error.
For Russia, the conflict yields both short-term and long-term gains.
Supply chain disruptions reopen its markets across the world due to
the relaxation of sanctions - undermining the long-term credibility
of the punitive regime - and generate windfall revenues from the
export of a larger amount of higher-priced natural resources, even
as Moscow continues to support Tehran.
The diversion of Western attention and resources weakens Ukraine's
position, as financial and military commitments become harder to
sustain, while Russia's leverage increases correspondingly.
At the same time, Moscow consolidates an alternative international
power bloc.
Its diplomatic competence, in stark contrast to
American
ineptitude, is evident in its maintenance of ties across opposing
camps and its positioning as a mediator, thereby enhancing its
global standing.
Europe's severance from Russian energy appears
increasingly costly and may prompt renewed large-scale sourcing from
Russia.
Finally, Russia will also grow increasingly attractive as an
immigration destination for mentally healthy Western talent with
sound moral values who seek stability and a traditional, culturally
rich lifestyle.
China's gains are more structural still.
As strategic overreach
hastens America's imperial decline, Beijing advances toward primacy
by default as much as by design.
Its strategy is one of calculated
restraint:
allowing rivals to exhaust themselves while it
consolidates economic, technological, and geopolitical advantage.
More consequential than material gain is China's self-presentation
as,
-
a force of stability, a proponent of sovereignty
-
a reliable
partner in economic development rather than an erratic agent of
military intervention
In contrast to Western neocolonial violence,
China's benign model acquires growing appeal across the Global South
and beyond.
The broader lessons are stark:
Pressure begets counter-pressure;
attempts at domination hasten the rise of alternatives.
In a multicentric world, influence accrues not to those pursuing
coercive, antithetical strategies of hegemony and suppression, but
to those who cultivate durable, wide-ranging relations across
divides.
By undermining its alliances while confronting its rivals,
the US destroys the very order it purports to defend.
3. Undermining
of Ochlocracy and Personalistic Authoritarianism
Another consequence of the US-Israeli war on Iran is the
simultaneous discrediting of two opposed systems of rule:
-
democratic
governance in its degenerate, mob-driven form
-
authoritarianism
in its personalistic, leader-centric variant
Far from vindicating
either model, the crisis exposes the vulnerabilities inherent in
both.
Classical political theory, from Polybius to Cicero,
describes the
recurrent degeneration of regimes in a cycle of political systems,
termed
anacyclosis.
Democracy slides into
ochlocracy, the rule of
the mob, when demagoguery displaces deliberation and institutional
safeguards falter.
What presents itself as popular sovereignty thus
reveals its terminal form:
not self-government, but the volatility
of the crowd.
The elevation and sustained support of figures such as Trump,
despite manifest unfitness - as evidenced by his felony conviction
and mental disorders (such as excessive narcissism) - illustrates
the absence of effective mechanisms for selection and correction.
According to the ancient theory, this invites the eventual
reassertion of one-man rule.
Yet authoritarianism fares no better where it rests on the cult of
personality.
Systems overly dependent on a single leader,
reminiscent of
Thomas Carlyle's dictum that the history of the world
is but the biography of great men, prove inherently fragile:
Where
figures are elevated beyond their measure, distortion follows and
collapse becomes a systemic risk.
Remove the individual, and the
structure falters.
A simple diagnostic applies:
Where a regime can be reduced to the
name of its leader, it stands exposed to failure.
By contrast to personalistic regimes, Iran's model displays a degree of
institutional resilience grounded in continuity rather than singular
indispensability.
This pattern disconfirms the prevailing assumptions of many
multicentric theorists.
The emerging multicentric order does not
herald the unqualified ascent of illiberal or authoritarian forms,
but rather underscores the necessity of balance:
domestic
constitutional systems capable of restraining both mass impulse and
personal ambition, and an international framework that embeds states
within cooperative structures without extinguishing sovereignty.
For
those inclined toward democracy, it calls for stronger checks and
balances; for those inclined toward authoritarianism, for less
personality-centric rule.
4. Rehabilitation of Belligerent
Ideologies
Another crucial intangible repercussion of
the US-Israeli war on
Iran is the normalization and spread of radically belligerent
ideologies, embraced either as defensive shields or postures for
expansions, following the precedent set by Washington and Jerusalem.
Right-wing forces are thereby strengthened globally, including new
anti-Israel nationalist parties.
-
First, even leaders who recognize the dangers of the triad of
nationalism, militarism, and imperialism may conclude that such
postures are once again necessary for survival in a world reverting
to great-power rivalry reminiscent of the pre-1914 and pre-1939
eras.
A key means of motivating a people - soldiers in particular
- is to
frame actions as the continuation of a "proud" military tradition.
Yet where history has been written by the victors, as in Germany, it
serves their interests and undermines the defeated. In such cases,
strong incentives arise to revise the past into a more empowering
nationalist narrative.
Trump's casual, euphemistic rhetoric,
reducing large-scale violence to the register of schoolyard
conflict, recalls the pre-First World War trivialization of war that
prepared entire societies for catastrophe.
Moreover, leaders of states that feel threatened by aggressive
actors are induced to emulate them: adopting militarist postures and
expansionist doctrines, pursuing territorial revisionism in the name
of security.
Perceived existential pressures, whether demographic or
resource-driven, further intensify expansional ethnonationalism,
including renewed quests for Lebensraum (living space).
-
Second, anti-Zionism moves from the margins into the mainstream.
As
Israel is increasingly perceived as the central driver of mass
destruction and global destabilization, criticism once suppressed by
discursive constraints becomes socially acceptable.
Mainstream commentators, including senior former officials, now
openly discuss the influence of the pro-Israel lobby on US policy,
claims previously neutralized as taboo.
Scandalous revelations
surrounding the extensive degenerated power network built by Jewish
financier
Jeffrey Epstein further erode trust and amplify suspicion
toward a global political-economic elite perceived as aligned with
Israeli interests.
Such criticism can slide from policy critique into broader
ideological hostility.
The distinction between criticism of the
State of Israel and attitudes toward the Jewish people in general
can become blurred in public discourse, especially given Israel's
self-definition as a Jewish state and the broad domestic support
among its Jewish citizens for the unrestrained violence it unleashes
on its neighbor, heightening the risk of conflation and further
polarization.
An increasing number of commentators question Israel's narrative of
victimhood, express understanding and sympathy for the historical
opposition
to Zionism, and challenge the scope and application of
antisemitism laws as constraints on criticism and mechanisms for
entrenching Zionist supremacy.
What began as political critique thus
threatens to spill into civilizational hostility, as normative
barriers weaken and long-suppressed narratives re-emerge.
5.
Discreditation of Christianity and Re-normalization of Barbarism
The war also highlights the politicization of religion. In
particular, the US-Israeli war on Iran risks discrediting
Christianity through its instrumentalization by powerful actors.
Christian Zionist currents, predominantly
Protestant, have provided
unwavering support for the war, cast the conflict in sacred terms
and blessed destruction as destiny.
This continues a long pattern of
Protestants accommodating faith to the zeitgeist, exemplified by
their churches lending strong support to National Socialism.
Political leaders in turn invoke divine sanction for large-scale
destruction, fusing religious belief with state violence and
reinforcing the perception of religion being deployed to justify the
indiscriminate use of force.
The instrumentalization of religion in the pursuit of war crimes
reached a new height when Trump wrote on social media with respect
to Iran:
"48 hours before all Hell will reign [sic!] down on them.
Glory be to GOD!"
The rhetoric crossed into blasphemy when the
rescue of a US airman was cast in terms evocative of Christ's
resurrection.
Such rhetoric erodes the perceived political neutrality of a pivotal
faith tradition and exposes it to global backlash. Audiences
unfamiliar with authentic Christian theology may fail to see that
Christian Zionist positions run counter to Jesus' injunction to love
one's enemies:
what is preached as morality appears, in practice, as
license.
They may thus, erroneously, perceive Christianity as an
aggressive, censorious creed and mobilize opposition against it.
The consequences are profound, encompassing not only the erosion of
legal norms but also the discrediting of the very values invoked to
justify them.
Absent Christianity's civilizing influence, barbarism
gets normalized once more.
The US, long proclaiming itself the leader of the free world, has a
record steeped in large-scale brutality, from the annihilation of
indigenous peoples and the slave trade (officially classified as
gravest crimes against humanity) to the atomic destruction of
Hiroshima and Nagasaki (which rendered it the first and so far only
state to have unleashed nuclear weapons upon civilian populations).
The US has also furnished Israel with,
extensive financial, military,
diplomatic, and discursive support, enabling operations widely
criticized as grave violations of international law, including
genocide in Gaza.
Yet Washington has traditionally at least maintained the fiction of
restraint, denying the breach of legal norms.
The war on Iran marks
a decisive departure, not merely the breach of norms, but the
erosion of any semblance that such norms still bind.
What emerges
instead is a doctrine of unbounded force:
The US, under Trump's
leadership, now appears increasingly willing to dispense with even
the pretense of legal justification and prudent restraint and acts
unashamedly as state terrorist and state plunderer.
The shift is evident in both atavistic rhetoric and conduct.
The
line between the military and civilian spheres collapses under a
single elastic claim:
everything sustains the enemy, therefore
everything may be destroyed.
Among other things, US-Israeli attacks on Iran have indiscriminately
killed thousands of civilians and destroyed residential quarters,
mosques, sports complexes, hospitals, schools, universities,
research centers, industrial plants, pharmaceutical facilities,
nuclear and other energy sites, water and desalination plants,
transport infrastructure, and heritage sites (which, if destroyed at
large scale, makes it extremely difficult to rebuild a nation).
The
toxic pollution from strikes on Iranian oil refineries has been
likened to the effects of chemical weapons. Elsewhere, Israel has
continued its campaign of assassinating journalists.
All of this has
occurred not as a last resort, but as an opening move.
Trump openly avows his intent to effect not only the complete
destruction of Iran's civilian infrastructure, but the eradication
of the entire civilization - acts that constitute grave war crimes.
In one social media post, the US president wrote:
"Tuesday will be
Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran...
Open the F***in' Strait, you crazy bastards, or you'll be living in
Hell - JUST WATCH!"
Trump has also openly boasted that he will "blast Iran into
oblivion... back to the Stone Ages" and threatened to "take out
Iran" in a single night if his extortionary demands are not met
within the allotted time.
Such an outcome would exceed even the
devastation of Hiroshima and Nagasaki and could well be brought
about by a renewed resort to nuclear weapons, the chilling logic
being that they must be used to preserve their usability.
The US and Israeli leadership appear driven by a satanic relish for
cruelty and bloodshed, evident in their use of
dysphemisms (the
deliberate use of coarse or degrading language to describe violent
acts).
Such bloodlust is evident in Trump's own words:
"We will conclude
our lovely 'stay' in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating
all of their electric generating plants, oil wells, and Kharg Island
(and possibly all desalination plants!), which we have purposefully
not yet 'touched'."
He also spoke of bombing Kharg Island again
"just for fun" and continuing to bomb "our little hearts out," even
suggesting:
"You never know with Iran because we negotiate with them
and then we always have to blow them up."
Trump's war crime rhetoric culminated into the following delirious
and outright maniacal proclamation with reference to Iran:
"A whole
civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again... God
Bless the Great People of Iran!"
After failing to subdue Iran, Trump
now resembles a burglar who, thwarted in a break-in, proceeds to
indiscriminate vandalism in frustration.
Even peremptory demands and binding deadlines no longer command
observance:
Israel, in a brazen display of contempt for norms,
destroyed Iranian civilian infrastructure even before the expiry of
Trump's ultimatum and restricted civilian movement in Iran,
prohibiting rail travel.
Prior to the normalization of totalitarian
control during the Covid-19 'pandemic', such conduct would have been
unthinkable; today, it is met with numbed acquiescence by outside
observers.
Equally striking is the normalization of extrajudicial assassination
of Iran's leaders and their extended family, which are acts of
collective punishment.
The method recalls crude Stalinist logic,
eliminating individuals pre-emptively, before any act is committed.
Trump has even boasted of killing Iranian leaders merely for the
purpose of revenge, not a legitimate justification, describing such
killings a "great honor."
One need only imagine the outcry were Iran
to adopt similar methods and target the US president.
Trump has also openly boasted of intended plunder, expressing his
preference for seizing the oil from the Iranians, retaining it, and
making "plenty of money" from it.
His logic is disarmingly blunt and
atavistic:
that the resource is "there for the taking" and that
"there's not a thing they can do about it."
At issue are the core principles of the Geneva Conventions:
distinction, proportionality, and military necessity.
These prohibit
attacks on civilian objects and forbid strikes causing excessive
civilian harm relative to military advantage.
By contrast, the cumulative effect of overwhelming destruction
inflicted by the US and Israel with collectively punitive and
retaliatory intent - causing widespread, severe, and long-term harm
- and targeted killings outside active battlefields is the
perception of two states not constrained by the moral and legal
frameworks established after the Second World War.
Justifications, where offered, follow an expansive logic in which
legality yields to expediency:
Virtually any human and material
target is framed as contributing, however indirectly, to the
adversary's war effort. In the extreme, a bridge becomes a
legitimate target because officials might traverse it, and even the
air becomes culpable because they breathe it, thus, by such logic,
sustaining the "regime."
Under such reasoning, the distinction
between civilian and military objects collapses, and with it the
central restraint of modern warfare and core principles of
international humanitarian law.
Domestic checks have thus far failed to impose meaningful limits on
Trump, raising the question of whether institutional safeguards are
effective.
It remains to be seen whether the US military will
continue to execute unlawful orders or refuse complicity in Trump's
war crimes.
The citizens in uniform should understand that if
leaders are unchecked, law, once the boundary of action, becomes an
instrument of justification: elastic, adaptable, and ultimately
expendable.
6. Worsening
Global Security Situation
A central justification of the US-Israeli war of choice on Iran is
that,
it allegedly will make the world safer.
The opposite is more
likely...
By hollowing out the authority of the United Nations and openly
disregarding international law, Washington and Israel establish a
precedent of unrestrained force, effectively licensing others to
invade, strike, and plunder at will, with no credible multilateral
constraint.
The so-called "rules-based order," long denounced by Russia and
other countries as unilaterally created and selectively enforced in
a self-serving manner, is further hollowed out.
Yet rules governing
war remain indispensable.
Even those who publicly contest the
rule-based order display indignation when international law is
violated to their detriment and invoke the rules to further their
interests.
As legal norms erode, violence will become more widespread, more
brazen, and increasingly difficult to contain.
Western states are
not exempt from this pernicious trend:
With domestic systems under
strain, incentives arise to resort to external conflict and other
crises, such as a new global pandemic, as diversions from underlying
structural problems.
The strategic consequences of the war on Iran are severe.
The Treaty
on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) risks sliding into
irrelevance as states - including Iran under its new resolute
leadership - draw the obvious lesson:
Only nuclear weapons guarantee
survival.
Proliferation will accelerate; more states will seek their
own arsenals or host those of others. The threshold for nuclear
escalation, once unthinkable, is lowered.
At the same time, a logic of perpetual war takes hold.
Israel's
repeated strikes across multiple theaters, often continuing despite
so-called ceasefires, have normalized a pattern of ongoing,
intermittent destruction, denying societies any chance of sustained
recovery.
Trump appears to think in such intervals, contrasting
current damage in Iran that he deems remediable within a decade with
possible additional destruction that would take a century to repair.
Violence becomes cyclical, self-perpetuating, and increasingly
indiscriminate.
Grievances deepen; demands for revenge intensify;
escalation becomes the default trajectory.
The result is
systemically entrenched instability.
European responses compound the damage.
Severe punishment for Russia
over Ukraine contrasts with tolerance of US and Israeli actions,
entrenching the perception of systemic double standards.
Such
asymmetry,
does not preserve order, it accelerates its collapse by
signaling that power, not principle, governs outcomes, thereby
emboldening unilateral use of force.
The cumulative result is a world less restrained, more heavily
armed, and more volatile:
legal norms eroded, conflicts perpetuated,
nuclear risks multiplied, and the likelihood of retaliatory
violence, including global terrorism, significantly increased.
7. Structural
Economic Shock and Forced Energy Shift
The US-Israeli war on Iran is poised to trigger a global economic
crisis of exceptional severity.
Unlike previous oil shocks, this is
not merely a disruption of supply but the destruction of production
itself. Key energy infrastructure is being eliminated, with
reconstruction measured in years, not months.
The result:
Structurally broken supply chains, surging energy prices, entrenched
inflation, and a slide into recession.
One particular pattern becomes difficult to ignore:
Successive
crises - from
the COVID-19 'pandemic', which most likely was man-made,
to the Ukraine war and now Iran - are locking the global economy
into a state of permanent crisis.
Whether by design or consequence, these shocks function as cover,
obscuring deep structural failures in Western economies, above all
unsustainable debt and chronic stagnation.
These strains stem from
policy failures, as leaders sacrifice public welfare on the altar of
ideological commitments.
As a form of self-inflicted harm,
politicized priorities and misaligned appointments in the name of
diversity and have weakened institutional competence and contributed
to costly strategic missteps, whose economic consequences are now
evident.
Adverse economic indicators again can be conveniently subsumed under
the broader narrative of a global crisis.
A sharp increase in the
price level may even appear fiscally attractive, quietly eroding
sovereign liabilities at the expense of creditors' wealth.
Yet the
subsequent rise in interest rates required to rein in inflation will
further depress growth and increase the debt burden, necessitating
tax increases, spending cuts, or both.
At the same time,
the war on Iran will also speed up
de-globalization. Energy insecurity will drive massive investment
shifts toward domestically produced renewable energy, alongside an
expanded deployment of nuclear power.
Repeated supply chain breakdowns, already occurring during the
COVID-19 'pandemic' and the onset of
the Ukraine war, will further
spur a shift toward economic sovereignty and autarky, fueling
protectionism and import-substitution.
Thus, the gains from
international specialization realized through trade and investment
are sacrificed in favor of resilience.
Conspiracy theorists may discern a pattern:
COVID-19 entrenched
remote interaction, the conflict in Ukraine underscored the
imperative of energy independence, and the Iran conflict accelerates
energy investments required to sustain artificial intelligence,
which facilitates more intrusive forms of societal control.
Financial markets, long buoyed by speculative narratives,
particularly centering around artificial intelligence, are exposed
to a harsher reality.
Fossil fuels, for the time being, remain a
foundational input to economic activity; sustained shocks to their
supply can unravel entire systems.
Overvalued markets face sharp
corrections, with the attendant risk of cascading failures,
including bank failures.
Even after the immediate global damage of the Iran war has been
eventually repaired, with inflation subdued and growth renewed, the
deeper and more consequential loss remains:
the erosion of trust in
Western political and economic systems.
What follows the conflict
thus is not recovery, but a more brittle equilibrium:
an economy
profoundly fragile and prone to recurrent crisis.
Empire Unbound
- When Power goes Mad
The US and Israel have branded Iran's leaders "lunatics."
In truth,
it is they who have normalized madness...
Acting as unhinged state
terrorists, with Israel as the driving force and Washington in tow,
they push the world toward the edge of nuclear catastrophe.
By
contrast, Iran's leadership again presents itself as comparatively
prudent, measured, and restrained to the extent permitted by
circumstance.
America's action is no aberration, but continues a long record of
industrial-scale state violence, including,
the firebombing of German
cities, the atomic annihilation of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and later
savage campaigns of mass destruction in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan,
and elsewhere...!
Trump's apparent irrationality may partly reflect a calculated
"madman" posture, intended to terrify adversaries with the promise
of limitless escalation.
But such theatrics are not a shield; they
are an accelerant.
Madness, once performed, has an insidious way of becoming real.
Incendiary behavior provokes escalatory retaliation.
Cruelty leaves
scars that endure across generations.
Russia to this day remembers
the devastation wrought by the Mongol invasion of Kievan Rus.
What we are witnessing is the logic of unbounded power:
unjustified,
unrestrained, and indiscriminate violence, the defining
characteristic of unhinged and barbaric tyranny.
When the pretext for
the Iraq War, weapons of mass destruction, was
exposed as fabricated, a global outrage ensued.
Today, even the
perceived need for pretense has vanished. No reasonable, coherent
justification is offered for the war of choice on Iran - only force,
naked and unapologetic.
Israel's and America's sustained, overt disregard for ethical norms
have fostered widespread cynicism and moral apathy. Repetition has
numbed the public, much of it bereft of a moral compass and critical
faculties, blunting outrage and resistance, for now.
The ultimate questions are stark:
Why should societies tolerate
unhinged leaders who imperil both their own citizens and populations
abroad?
Why should the world at large continue to countenance
- and
bear the cost of - the brutal crimes perpetrated by a small circle
of Israeli leaders and their US accomplices?
No political order endures without a noble and credible moral
foundation.
A system that abandons moral constraint cannot command
lasting loyalty; it corrodes from within...!
Over time, a growing number of Western citizens will question the
wisdom of supporting governments that impoverish them in pursuit of
external, chiefly Israeli, objectives.
The unrestrained conduct of Western elites will
ultimately destroy confidence in and loyalty to liberal-democratic
regimes.
In apocalyptic language,
one might speak of a Persian Armageddon, a
final contest between good and evil.
Yet the roles differ from those
commonly assigned in familiar narratives.
While no actor in this human drama is without fault, the final
verdict is clear:
Israel, and its backer, the US, are emerging as
the truly destabilizing agents and vectors of egregious perversion,
whereas Iran presents itself as a staunch defender of civilization,
wisdom, tradition, order, legality, sovereignty, and restraint, thus
functioning as an indispensable counterweight to the unhinged duo.
The US-Israeli war of choice on Iran is not merely a conflict but a
turning point, eroding norms, accelerating America's imperial
decline, and propelling rival powers to prominence in a rapidly
fragmenting and increasingly dystopian multicentric world.
As their global influence dissipates, Western leaders would be well
advised to heed the following lesson:
As a rule, empires do not fall because they
are defeated; they fall because, in abandoning all restraint,
they first defeat themselves...
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