by Manlio Dinucci
May 21, 2019
Translation by Pete
Original Italian version
The conclusions of the latest confidential report by
the Rand Corporation were recently made public in a
They explain how to wage a new Cold War against
Certain recommendations have already been
implemented, but this systemic exposure enables us
to understand their true objective.
"Force the adversary to expand recklessly in order to unbalance
him, and then destroy him"...
This is not the
description of a judo hold, but a plan against
Russia elaborated by
the Rand Corporation, the most
influential think tank in the USA.
With a staff of thousands
of experts, Rand presents itself as the world's most 'reliable'
source for Intelligence and political analysis for the leaders
of the United States and their allies.
The Rand Corp prides itself on having contributed to the elaboration
of the long-term strategy which enabled the United States to win the
Cold War, by forcing the Soviet Union to consume its own economic
resources in the strategic confrontation.
It is this model which
was the inspiration for the new plan, Overextending and
Unbalancing Russia, published by Rand. 
According to their
analysts, Russia remains a powerful adversary for the United States
in certain fundamental sectors. To handle this opposition, the USA
and their allies will have to pursue a joint long-term strategy
which exploits Russia's vulnerabilities.
So Rand analyses the
various means with which to unbalance Russia, indicating for each
the probabilities of success, the benefits, the cost, and the risks
for the USA.
Rand analysts estimate that Russia's greatest vulnerability is that
of its economy, due to its heavy dependency on oil and gas
exports. The income from these exports can be reduced by
strengthening sanctions and increasing the energy exports of the
The goal is to
Europe to diminish its importation of Russian natural
gas, and replace it by liquefied natural gas transported by sea from
Another way of destabilizing the Russian economy in the long run is
to encourage the emigration of qualified personnel,
particularly young Russians with a high level of education.
In the ideological and
information sectors, it would be necessary to encourage internal
contestation and at the same time, to undermine Russia's image on
the exterior, by excluding it from international forums and
boycotting the international sporting events that it
In the geopolitical sector,
arming Ukraine would enable the USA
to exploit the central point of Russia's exterior vulnerability, but
this would have to be carefully calculated in order to hold Russia
under pressure without slipping into a major conflict, which it
In the military sector, the USA could enjoy high benefits, with low
costs and risks, by increasing the number of land-based troops from
the NATO countries working in an anti-Russian function.
The USA can enjoy high
probabilities of success and high benefits, with moderate risks,
especially by investing mainly in strategic bombers and long-range
attack missiles directed against Russia.
the INF Treaty and deploying in
Europe new intermediate-range nuclear missiles pointed at Russia
would lead to high probabilities of success, but would also present
By calibrating each
option to gain the desired effect - conclude the Rand analysts -
Russia would end up by paying the hardest price in a confrontation,
but the USA would also have to invest huge resources, which would
therefore no longer be available for other objectives.
This is also prior
warning of a coming major increase in USA/NATO military
spending, to the disadvantage of social budgets.
This is the future that is planned out for us by the Rand
Corporation, the most influential think tank of
the Deep State, in other words,
centre of real power gripped by the economic, financial, and
...which determines the
strategic choices not only of the USA, but all of the Western world.
The "options" set out by the plan are in reality no more than
variants of the same war strategy, of which the price in sacrifices
and risks is paid by us all...
Overextending and Unbalancing Russia -
Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options - by
James Dobbins, Raphael S. Cohen, Nathan Chandler, Bryan
Frederick, Edward Geist, Paul DeLuca, Forrest E. Morgan, Howard
J. Shatz, Brent Williams - Rand Corporation, May 2019.