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			UFOs and the U.S. Air Force 
			
			  
			
			PART I 
			Unidentified Flying Objects (UFOs) 
			
			  
			
			  
			
			
			What is an Unidentified Flying Object (UFO)?  
			
			
			From the United States Air Force Academy 
			(Department of Physics) Textbook Introductory 
			Space Science, Volume II 
			 
			Well, according to United States Air Force Regulation 80-17 (dated 
			19 September 1966), a UFO is "any aerial phenomenon or object which 
			is unknown or appears to be out of the ordinary to the observer."
			 
			 
			This is a very broad definition which applies equally well to one 
			individual seeing his first noctilucent [luminous] cloud at twilight 
			as it does to another individual seeing his first helicopter. 
			However, at present most people consider the term UFO to mean an 
			object which behaves in a strange or erratic manner while moving 
			through the Earth's atmosphere.  
			
			  
			
			That strange phenomenon has evoked strong emotions 
			and great curiosity among a large segment of our world's population. 
			The average person is interested because he loves a mystery, the 
			professional military man is involved because of the possible threat 
			to national security, and some scientists are interested because of 
			the basic curiosity that led them into becoming researchers.  
			 
			The literature on UFOs is so vast, and the stories so many and 
			varied, that we can only present a sketchy outline of the subject in 
			this chapter. That outline includes description classifications, 
			operational domains (temporal and spatial), some theories as to the 
			nature of the UFO phenomenon, human reactions, attempts to attack 
			the problem scientifically, and some tentative conclusions.  
			
				
				33.1—Descriptions  
				 
				One of the greatest problems you encounter when attempting to 
				catalog UFO sightings, is selection of a system for cataloging. 
				No effective system has yet been devised, although a number of 
				different systems have been proposed. The net result is that 
				almost all UFO data are either treated in the form of individual 
				cases, or in the forms of inadequate qualification systems.
				 
				  
				
				However, these systems do tend to have some 
				common factors, and a collection of these factors is as follows:
				 
				
					- 
					
					Size  
					- 
					
					Shape (disc, ellipse, football, etc.) 
					 
					- 
					
					Luminosity  
					- 
					
					Color  
					- 
					
					Number of UFOs.   
				 
				
				Behavior:  
				
					- 
					
					Location (altitude, direction, etc.) 
					 
					- 
					
					Patterns of paths (straight line, climbing, 
					zigzagging, etc.)  
					- 
					
					Flight characteristics (wobbling, fluttering, 
					etc.)  
					- 
					
					Periodicity of sightings  
					- 
					
					Time duration  
					- 
					
					Curiosity or inquisitiveness  
					- 
					
					Avoidance  
					- 
					
					Hostility  
				 
				
				Associated Effects:  
				
					- 
					
					Electro-magnetic (compass, radio, ignition 
					systems, etc.)  
					- 
					
					Radiation (burns, induced radioactivity, 
					etc.)  
					- 
					
					Ground disturbance (dust stirred up, leaves 
					moved, standing wave peaks of surface of water, etc.) 
					 
					- 
					
					Sound (none, hissing, humming, roaring, 
					thunderclaps, etc.  
					- 
					
					Vibration (weak, strong, slow, fast) 
					 
					- 
					
					Smell (ozone or other odor)  
					- 
					
					Flame (how much, where, when, color) 
					 
					- 
					
					Smoke or cloud (amount, color, persistence) 
					 
					- 
					
					Debris (type, amount, color, persistence) 
					 
					- 
					
					Inhibition of voluntary movement by observers 
					 
					- 
					
					Sighting of "creatures" or "beings." 
					  
				 
				
				After Effects: 
				
					- 
					
					Burned areas or animals  
					- 
					
					Depressed or flattened areas  
					- 
					
					Dead or "missing" animals  
					- 
					
					Mentally disturbed people  
					- 
					
					Missing items  
				 
				
				We make no attempt here to present available data 
				in terms of the fore-going descriptors.  
				 
				33.2—Operational Domains—Temporal and Spatial  
				 
				What we will do here is to present evidence that UFOs are a 
				global phenomenon which may have persisted for many thousands of 
				years. During this discussion, please remember that the more 
				ancient the reports the less sophisticated the observer. Not 
				only were the ancient observers lacking the terminology 
				necessary to describe complex devices (such as present clay 
				helicopters) but they were also lacking the concepts necessary 
				to understand the true nature of such things as television, 
				spaceships, rockets, nuclear weapons and radiation effects.
				 
				  
				
				To some, the most advanced technological concept 
				was a war chariot with knife blades attached to the wheels. By 
				the same token, the very lack of accurate terminology and 
				descriptions leaves the more ancient reports open to 
				considerable misinterpretation, and it may well be that present 
				evaluations of individual reports are completely wrong. 
				Nevertheless, let us start with an intriguing story in one of 
				the oldest chronicles of India—the 
				
				Book of Dzyan.  
				 
				The book is a group of "story-teller" legends which were finally 
				gathered in manuscript form when man learned to write. One of 
				the stories is of a small group of beings who supposedly came to 
				Earth many thousands of years ago in a metal craft which orbited 
				the Earth several times before landing.  
				  
				
				As told in the Book:  
				
					
					These beings lived on Earth while largely 
					keeping to themselves and were revered by the humans among 
					whom they had settled. But eventually differences arose 
					among them and they divided their numbers, several of the 
					men and women and some children settled in another city, 
					where they were promptly installed as rulers by the 
					awe-stricken populace.  
					
					  
					
					Separation did not bring peace to these people 
				and finally their anger reached a point where the ruler of the 
				original city took with him a small number of his warriors and 
				they rose into the air in a huge shining metal vessel. While 
				they were many leagues from the city of their enemies, they 
				launched a great shining lance that rode on a beam of light. It 
				burst apart in the city of their enemies with a great ball of 
				flame that shot up to the heavens, almost to the stars. 
					 
					  
					
					All those who were in the city were horribly 
				burned and even those who were not in the city—but nearby— were 
				burned also. Those who looked upon the lance and the ball of 
				fire were blinded forever afterward. Those who entered the city 
				on foot became ill and died. Even the dust of the city was 
				poisoned, as were the rivers that flowed through it. Men dared 
				not go near it, and it gradually crumbled into dust and was 
				forgotten by men. 
  When the leader saw what he had done to his own people he 
				retired to his palace and refused to see anyone. Then he 
				gathered about him those warriors who remained, and their wives 
				and children, and they entered their vessels and rose one by one 
				into the sky and sailed away. Nor did they return.  
				 
				
				Could this foregoing legend really be an account of an 
				extraterrestrial colonization, complete with guided missile, 
				nuclear warhead and radiation effects? 
				 
				
				  
				
				It is difficult to assess 
				the validity of that explanation—just as it is difficult to 
				explain why Greek, Roman and Nordic Mythology all discuss wars 
				and conflicts among their "Gods." (Even the Bible records 
				conflict between the legions of God and Satan.) Could it be that 
				each group recorded their parochial view of what was actually a 
				global conflict among alien colonists or visitors? Or is it that 
				man has led such a violent existence that he tends to expect 
				conflict and violence among even his gods?  
				 
				Evidence of perhaps an even earlier possible contact was 
				uncovered by Tschi Pen Lao of the University of Peking.
				
				He 
				discovered astonishing carvings in granite on a mountain in 
				Hunan Province and on an island in Lake Tungting. These carvings 
				have been evaluated as 47,000 years old, and they show people 
				with large trunks (breathing apparatus?) or "elephant" heads 
				shown on human bodies. (Remember, the Egyptians often 
				represented their gods as animal heads on human bodies.) 
				 
				  
				
				Only 8,000 years ago, rocks were sculpted in the 
				Tassili plateau of Sahara, depicting what appeared to be human 
				beings but with strange round heads (helmets? or "sun" heads on 
				human bodies?) And even more recently, in the Bible, Genesis 6:4 
				tells of angels from the sky mating with women of Earth, who 
				bore them children. Genesis 19:3 tells of Lot meeting two angels 
				in the desert and his later feeding them at his house. The Bible 
				also tells a rather unusual story of Ezekiel who witnessed what 
				has been interpreted by some to have been a spacecraft or 
				aircraft landing near the Chebar River in Chaldea
				* (593 B.C.).  
				  
				
				* An 
				ancient region of Mesopotamia. 
				 
				 
				Even the Irish have recorded strange visitations.  
				
				  
				
				In the 
				Speculum Regali in Konungs Skuggsa (and other accounts of the 
				era about 956 A.D.) are numerous stories of "demonships" in the 
				skies. In one case a rope from one such ship became entangled 
				with part of a church. A man from the ship climbed down the rope 
				to free it, but was seized by the townspeople. The bishop made 
				the people release the man, who climbed back to the ship, where 
				the crew cut the rope and the ship rose and sailed out of sight. 
				In all of his actions, the climbing man appeared as if he were 
				swimming in water. Stories such as this makes one wonder if the 
				legends of the "little people" of Ireland were based upon 
				imagination alone.  
				 
				About the same time, in Lyons, France, three men and a woman 
				supposedly descended from an airship or spaceship and were 
				captured by a mob. These foreigners admitted to being wizards, 
				and were killed. (No mention is made of the methods employed to 
				extract the admissions.) Many 
				
				documented UFO sightings occurred 
				throughout the Middle Ages, including an especially startling 
				one of a UFO over London on 16 December 1742. However, we do not 
				have room to include any more of the Middle Ages sightings. 
				Instead, two "more recent" sightings are contained in this 
				section to bring us up to modern times.  
				 
				In a sworn statement dated 21 April 1897, a prosperous and 
				prominent farmer named Alexander Hamilton (Lea Roy, Kansas) told 
				of an attack upon his cattle at about 10:30 P.M. the previous 
				Monday. He, his son, and his tenant grabbed axes and ran some 
				700 feet from the house to the cow lot where a great 
				cigar-shaped ship about 300 feet long floated some 30 feet above 
				his cattle. It had a carriage underneath which was brightly 
				lighted within (dirigible and gondola?) and which had numerous 
				windows. Inside were six strange-looking beings jabbering in a 
				foreign language.  
				  
				
				These beings suddenly became aware of Hamilton 
				and the others. They immediately turned a searchlight on the 
				farmer, and also turned on some power which sped up a turbine 
				wheel (about 30 feet in diameter) located under the craft. The 
				ship rose, taking with it a two-year-old heifer which was roped 
				about the neck by a cable of one-half inch thick, red material.
				 
				  
				
				The next day a neighbor, Link Thomas, found the 
				animal's hide, legs and head in his field. He was mystified at 
				how the remains got to where they were because of the lack of 
				tracks in the soft soil. Alexander Hamilton's sworn statement 
				was accompanied by an affidavit as to his veracity. The 
				affidavit was signed by ten of the local leading citizens.  
				 
				On the evening of 4 November 1957 at Fort Itaipu, Brazil, two 
				sentries noted a "new star" in the sky. The "star" grew in size 
				and within seconds stopped over the fort. It drifted slowly 
				downward, was as large as a big aircraft, and was surrounded by 
				a strong orange glow. A distinct humming sound was heard, and 
				then the heat struck.  
				  
				
				A sentry collapsed almost immediately, the other 
				managed to slide to shelter under the heavy cannons where his 
				loud cries awoke the garrison. While the troops were scrambling 
				towards their battle stations, complete electrical failure 
				occurred. There was panic until the lights came back on but a 
				number of men still managed to see an orange glow leaving the 
				area at high speed. Both sentries were found badly burned—one 
				unconscious and the other incoherent, suffering from deep shock.
				 
				 
				Thus, UFO sightings not only appear to extend back to 47,000 
				years through time but also are global in nature. One has the 
				feeling that this phenomenon deserves some sort of valid 
				scientific investigation, even if it is a low level effort.  
  
				
				 
				33.3—Some Theories as to the Nature of the UFO Phenomenon  
				 
				There are very few cohesive theories as to the nature of UFOs. 
				Those theories that have been advanced can be collected in five 
				groups:  
				
					
						
							- 
							
							Mysticism  
							- 
							
							Hoaxes, and rantings due to unstable 
							personalities  
							- 
							
							Secret Weapons  
							- 
							
							Natural Phenomena  
							- 
							
							Alien visitors.   
						 
					 
				 
				
					  
					
					[a] Mysticism.  
					
					It is believed by some cults that the mission 
					of UFOs and their crews is a spiritual one, and that all 
					materialistic efforts to determine the UFOs' natures are 
					doomed to failure.  
					
					 
					[b] Hoaxes, and Rantings due to Unstable Personalities.
					 
					
					Some have suggested that all UFO reports were 
					the results of pranks and hoaxes, or were made by people 
					with unstable personalities. This attitude was particularly 
					prevalent during the time period when the Air Force 
					investigation was being operated under the code name of 
					Project Grudge. A few airlines even went as far as to ground 
					every pilot who reported seeing a "flying saucer." 
					 
					  
					
					The only way for the pilot to regain flight 
					status was to under-go a psychiatric examination. There was 
					a noticeable decline in pilot reports during this time 
					interval, and a few interpreted this decline to prove that 
					UFOs were either hoaxes or the result of unstable 
					personalities. It is of interest that NICAP (The National 
					Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena) even today 
					still receives reports from commercial pilots who neglect to 
					notify either the Air Force or their own airline.  
					 
					There are a number of cases which indicate that not all 
					reports fall in the hoax category. We will examine one such 
					case now. It is the Socorro, New Mexico sighting made by 
					police Sergeant Lonnie Zamora. Sergeant Zamora was 
					patrolling the streets of Socorro on 24 April 1964 when he 
					saw a shiny object drift down into an area of gullies on the 
					edge of town. He also heard a loud roaring noise which 
					sounded as if an old dynamite shed located out that way had 
					exploded. He immediately radioed police headquarters, and 
					drove out toward the shed.  
					  
					
					Zamora was forced to stop about 150 yards 
					away from a deep gully in which there appeared to be an 
					overturned car. He radioed that he was investigating a 
					possible wreck, and then worked his car up onto the mesa and 
					over toward the edge of the gully. He parked short, and when 
					he walked the final few feet to the edge, he was amazed to 
					see that it was not a car but instead was a weird egg-shaped 
					object about fifteen feet long, white in color and resting 
					on short, metal legs. Beside it, unaware of his presence, 
					were two humanoids dressed in silvery coveralls.  
					  
					
					They seemed to be working on a portion of the 
					underside of the object. Zamora was still standing there, 
					surprised, when they suddenly noticed him and dove out of 
					sight around the object. Zamora also headed the other way, 
					back toward his car. He glanced back at the object just as a 
					bright blue flame shot down from the underside. Within 
					seconds the egg-shaped thing rose out of the gully with "an 
					ear-splitting roar."  
					  
					
					The object was out of sight over the nearby 
					mountains almost immediately, and Sergeant Zamora was moving 
					the opposite direction almost as fast when he met Sergeant 
					Sam Chavez who was responding to Zamora's earlier radio 
					calls. Together they investigated the gully and found the 
					bushes charred and still smoking where the blue flame had 
					jetted down on them. About the charred area were four deep 
					marks where the metal legs had been. Each mark was three and 
					one half inches deep, and was circular in shape.  
					  
					
					The sand in the gully was very hard packed, 
					so no sign of the humanoids' footprints could be found. An 
					official investigation was launched that same day, and all 
					data obtained supported the stories of Zamora and Chavez. It 
					is rather difficult to label this episode a hoax, and it is 
					also doubtful that both Zamora and Chavez shared portions of 
					the same hallucination.  
					 
					[c] Secret Weapons.  
					
					A few individuals have proposed that UFOs are 
					actually advanced weapon systems, and that their natures 
					must not be revealed. Very few people accept this as a 
					credible suggestion.  
					 
					[d] Natural Phenomena.  
					
					It has also been suggested that at least 
					some, and possibly all of the UFO cases were just 
					misinterpreted manifestations of natural phenomena. 
					Undoubtedly this suggestion has some merit. People have 
					reported, as UFOs, objects which were conclusively proven to 
					be balloons (weather and skyhook), the planet Venus, 
					man-made artificial satellites, normal aircraft, unusual 
					cloud formations, and lights from ceilometers (equipment 
					projecting light beams on cloud bases to determine the 
					height of the aircraft visual ceiling).  
					  
					
					It is also suspected that people have 
					reported mirages, optical illusions, swamp gas and ball 
					lightning (a poorly-understood discharge of electrical 
					energy in a spheroidal or ellipsoidal shape . . . some 
					charges have lasted for up to fifteen minutes but the ball 
					is usually no bigger than a large orange). But it is 
					difficult to tell a swamp dweller that the strange, 
					fast-moving light he saw in the sky was swamp gas; and it is 
					just as difficult to tell a farmer that a bright UFO in the 
					sky is the same ball lightning that he has seen rolling 
					along his fence wires in dry weather.  
					  
					
					Thus accidental misidentification of what 
					might well be natural phenomena breeds mistrust and 
					disbelief; it leads to the hasty conclusion that the truth 
					is deliberately not being told. One last suggestion of 
					interest has been made, that the UFOs were plasmoids from 
					space-concentrated blobs of solar wind that succeeded in 
					reaching the surface of the Earth.  
					  
					
					Somehow this last suggestion does not seem to 
					be very plausible; perhaps because it ignores such things as 
					penetration of Earth's magnetic field.  
				 
			 
			
			
			 
			 
			PART II  
			Alien Visitors  
  
			
			The most stimulating theory for us is that the UFOs 
			are material objects which are either "manned" or remote-controlled 
			by beings who are alien to this planet. There is some evidence 
			supporting this viewpoint. In addition to police Sergeant Lonnie 
			Zamora's experience, let us consider 
			
			the case of Barney and Betty 
			Hill. On a trip through New England they lost two hours on the night 
			of 19 September 1961 without even realizing it.  
			
			  
			
			However, after that night both Barney and Betty began 
			developing psychological problems which eventually grew sufficiently 
			severe that they submitted themselves to psychiatric examination and 
			treatment. During the course of treatment, hypnotherapy was used, 
			and it yielded remarkably detailed and similar stories from both 
			Barney and Betty. Essentially they had been hypnotically kidnapped, 
			taken aboard a UFO, submitted to two-hour physicals, and released 
			with posthypnotic suggestions to forget the entire incident.  
			
			  
			
			The evidence is rather strong that this is what the 
			Hills, even in their subconscious, believe happened to them. And it 
			is of particular importance that after the "posthypnotic block" was 
			removed, both of the Hills ceased having their psychological 
			problems.  
			 
			The Hill's description of the aliens was similar to descriptions 
			provided in other cases, but this particular type of alien appears 
			to be in the minority. The most commonly described alien is about 
			three and one half feet tall, has a round head (helmet?), arms 
			reaching to or below his knees, and is wearing a silvery space suit 
			or coveralls. Other aliens appear to be essentially the same as 
			Earthmen, while still others have particularly wide (wrap around) 
			eyes and mouths with very thin lips. And there is a rare group 
			reported as about 4 feet tall, weight of around 35 pounds, and 
			covered with thick hair or fur (clothing?). Members of this last 
			group are described as being extremely strong.  
			
			  
			
			If such beings are visiting Earth, two questions 
			arise:  
			
				
				1) Why haven't they attempted to contact us 
				officially? The answer to the first question may exist partially 
				in Sergeant Lonnie Zamora's experience, and may exist partially 
				in 
				the Tunguska meteor.* 
				 
				  
				
				* A 
				massive explosion that occurred in Siberia in 1908. 
				  
				
				It was suggested that the Tunguska 
				meteor was 
				actually a comet which exploded in the atmosphere, the ices 
				melted and the dust spread out. Hence, no debris. However, it 
				has also been suggested that the Tunguska meteor was actually an 
				alien spacecraft that entered the atmosphere too rapidly, 
				suffered mechanical failure, and lost its power supply and/or 
				weapons in a nuclear explosion.  
				  
				
				While that hypothesis may seem far-fetched, 
				sample of tree rings from around the world reveal that, 
				immediately after the Tunguska meteor explosion, the level of 
				radioactivity in the world rose sharply for a short period of 
				time. It is difficult to find a natural explanation for that 
				increase in radioactivity, although the suggestion has been 
				advanced that enough of the meteor's great Kinetic energy was 
				converted into heat (by atmospheric friction) that a fusion 
				reaction occurred.  
				  
				
				2) This still leaves us with no answer to the 
				second question: Why no contact?  
				  
				
				That question is very easy to answer in several 
				ways:  
				
					
						- 
						
						We may be the object of intensive 
						sociological and psychological study. In such studies 
						you usually avoid disturbing the test subjects' 
						environment;   
						- 
						
						You do not "contact" a colony of ants, 
						and humans may seem that way to any aliens (variation: a 
						zoo is fun to visit, but you don't "contact" the 
						lizards);   
						- 
						
						Such contact may have already taken place 
						secretly;   
						- 
						
						Such contact may have already taken place 
						on a different plane of awareness and we are not yet 
						sensitive to communications on such a plane.  
						 
					 
				 
			 
			
			These are just a few of the reasons. You may add to 
			the list as you desire.  
			
				
				 
				33.4—Human Fear and Hostility  
				 
				Besides the foregoing reasons, contacting humans is downright 
				dangerous. Think about that for a moment! On the microscopic 
				level our bodies reject and fight (through production of 
				antibodies) any alien material; this process helps us fight off 
				disease but it also sometimes results in allergic reactions to 
				innocuous materials.  
				  
				
				On the macroscopic (psychological and 
				sociological) level we are antagonistic to beings that are 
				"different." For proof of that, just watch how an odd child is 
				treated by other children, or how a minority group is socially 
				deprived. ... In case you are hesitant to extend that concept to 
				the treatment of aliens let me point out that in very ancient 
				times, possible extraterrestrials may have been treated as Gods 
				but in the last 2000 years, the evidence is that any possible 
				aliens have been ripped apart by mobs, shot and shot at, 
				physically assaulted, and in general treated with fear and 
				aggression.  
				 
				In Ireland about 1000 A.D., supposed airships were treated as 
				"demon-ships." In Lyons, France, "admitted" space travelers were 
				killed. More recently, on 24 July 1957 Russian anti-aircraft 
				batteries on the Kouril Islands opened fire on UFOs.*
				 
				  
				
				* The 
				Kouril Islands are located north of Japan.  
				  
				
				Although all Soviet anti-aircraft batteries on 
				the Islands were in action, no hits were made. The UFOs were 
				luminous and moved very fast. We, too, have fired on UFOs. About 
				ten o'clock one morning, a radar site near a fighter base picked 
				up a UFO doing 700 miles per hour. The UFO then slowed to 100 
				miles per hour, and two F-86s scrambled to intercept. Eventually 
				one F-86 closed on the UFO at about 3000 feet altitude. 
				 
				  
				
				The UFO began to accelerate away but the pilot 
				still managed to get within 500 yards of the target for a short 
				period of time. It was definitely saucer shaped. As the pilot 
				pushed the F-86 at top speed, the UFO began to pull away. When 
				the range reached 1000 yards, the pilot armed his guns and fired 
				in an attempt to down the saucer. He failed, and the UFO pulled 
				away rapidly, vanishing in the distance.  
				 
				This same basic situation may have happened on a more personal 
				level. On Sunday evening 21 August 1955, eight adults and three 
				children were on the Sutton Farm (one-half mile from Kelly, 
				Kentucky) when, according to them, one of the children saw a 
				brightly glowing UFO settle behind the barn, out of sight from 
				where he stood. Other witnesses on nearby farms also saw the 
				object. However, the Suttons dismissed it as a "shooting star," 
				and did not investigate.  
				  
				
				Approximately thirty minutes later (at 8:00 
				P.M.), the family dogs began barking, so two of the men went to 
				the back door and looked out. Approximately 50 feet away and 
				coming toward them was a creature wearing a glowing silvery 
				suit. It was about three-and-one-half feet tall with a large 
				round head and very long arms. It had large webbed hands which 
				were equipped with claws.  
				  
				
				The two Suttons grabbed a twelve gauge shotgun 
				and a .22 caliber pistol, and fired at close range. They could 
				hear the pellets and bullet ricochet as if off of metal. The 
				creature was knocked down, but jumped up and scrambled away. The 
				Suttons retreated into the house, turned off all inside lights, 
				and turned on the porch light. At that moment, one of the women 
				who was peeking out of the dining room window discovered that a 
				creature with some sort of helmet and wide slit eyes was peeking 
				back at her. She screamed, the men rushed in and started 
				shooting.  
				  
				
				The creature was knocked backwards but again 
				scrambled away without apparent harm. More shooting occurred (a 
				total of about fifty rounds) over the next twenty minutes and 
				the creatures finally left (perhaps feeling unwelcome?). After 
				about a two hour wait (for safety), the Suttons left too. By the 
				time the police got there, the aliens were gone but the Suttons 
				would not move back to the farm. They sold it and departed. This 
				reported incident does bear out the contention though that 
				aliens are dangerous.  
				  
				
				At no time in the story did the supposed aliens 
				shoot back, although one is left with the impression that the 
				described creatures were having fun scaring humans.  
  
				
				 
				33.5—Attempts at Scientific Approaches  
				 
				In any scientific endeavor, the first step is to acquire data, 
				the second step is to classify the data, and the third step is 
				to form a hypothesis. This hypothesis is tested by repeating the 
				entire process, with each cycle resulting in an increase in 
				understanding (we hope). The UFO phenomenon does not yield 
				readily to this approach because the data taken so far exhibits 
				both excessive variety and vagueness.  
				  
				
				The vagueness is caused in part by the lack of 
				preparation of the observer—very few people leave their house 
				knowing that they are going to see a UFO that evening. 
				Photographs are overexposed or underexposed, and rarely in 
				color. Hardly anyone carries around a radiation counter or 
				magnetometer. And, in addition to this, there is a very high 
				level of "noise" in the data.  
				  
				
				The noise consists of mistaken reports of known 
				natural phenomena, hoaxes, reports by unstable individuals, and 
				mistaken removal of data regarding possible unnatural or unknown 
				natural phenomena (by overzealous individuals who are trying to 
				eliminate all data due to known natural phenomena). In addition, 
				those data, which do appear to be valid, exhibit an excessive 
				amount of variety relative to the statistical samples which are 
				available. This has led to very clumsy classification systems, 
				which in turn provide quite unfertile ground for formulation of 
				hypotheses.  
				 
				One hypothesis which looked promising for a time was that of 
				
				ORTHOTENY (i.e., UFO sightings fall on "area circle" routes). At 
				first, plots of sightings seemed to verify the concept of 
				orthoteny but recent use of computers has revealed that even 
				random numbers yield "great circle" plots as neatly as do UFO 
				sightings.  
				 
				There is one solid advance that has been made though. Jacques 
				and Janine Vallee have taken a particular type of UFO—namely 
				those that are lower than tree-top level when sighted—and 
				plotted the UFOs' estimated diameters versus the estimated 
				distance from the observer. The result yields an average 
				diameter of 5 meters with a very characteristic drop for short 
				viewing distances. This behavior at the extremes of the curve is 
				well known to astronomers and psychologists as the "moon 
				illusion."  
				  
				
				The illusion only occurs when the object being 
				viewed is a real, physical object. Because this implies that the 
				observers have viewed a real object, it permits us to accept 
				also their statement that these particular UFOs had a rotational 
				axis of symmetry.  
				 
				Another, less solid, advance made by the Vallees was their 
				plotting of the total number of sightings per week versus the 
				date. They did this for the time span from 1947 to 1962, and 
				then attempted to match the peaks of the curve (every 2 years, 2 
				months) to the times of Earth-Mars con-junction (every 2 years, 
				1.4 months). The match was very good between 1950 and 1956 but 
				was poor outside those limits. Also, the peaks were not only at 
				the times of Earth-Mars conjunction but also roughly at the 
				first harmonic (very loosely, every 13 months).  
				  
				
				This raises the question why should UFOs only 
				visit Earth when Mars is in conjunction and when it is on the 
				opposite side of the sun. Obviously, the conjunction periodicity 
				of Mars is not the final answer. As it happens, there is an 
				interesting possibility to consider. Suppose Jupiter's 
				conjunctions were used; they are every 13.1 months. That would 
				satisfy the observed periods nicely, except for every even data 
				peak being of different magnitude from every odd data peak. 
				Perhaps a combination of Martian, Jovian, and Saturnian (and 
				even other planetary) conjunctions will be necessary to match 
				the frequency plot—if it can be matched.  
				 
				Further data correlation is quite difficult. There are a large 
				number of different saucer shapes but this may mean little. For 
				example, look at the number of different types of aircraft which 
				are in use in the U.S. Air Force alone.  
				 
				It is obvious that intensive scientific study is needed in this 
				area; no such study has yet been undertaken at the necessary 
				levels of intensity needed. Something that must be guarded 
				against in any such study is the trap of implicitly assuming 
				that our knowledge of physics (or any other branch of science) 
				is complete. An example of one such trap is selecting a group of 
				physical laws which we now accept as valid, and assuming that 
				they will never be superseded.  
				  
				
				Five such laws might be:  
				
					- 
					
					Every action must have an opposite and equal 
					reaction.   
					- 
					
					Every particle in the universe attracts every 
					other particle with a force proportional to the product of 
					the masses and inversely as the square of the distance.
					  
					- 
					
					Energy, mass and momentum are conserved.
					  
					- 
					
					No material body can have a speed as great as 
					c, the speed of light in free space.   
					- 
					
					The maximum energy, E, which can be obtained 
					from a body at rest is E=mc2, where m is the rest 
					mass of the body.   
				 
				
				Laws numbered 1 and 3 seem fairly safe, but let 
				us hesitate and take another look. Actually, law number 3 is 
				only valid (now) from a relativistic viewpoint; and for that 
				matter so are laws 4 and 5.  
				  
				
				But relativity completely revised these physical 
				concepts after 1915, before then Newtonian mechanics were 
				supreme. We should also note that general relativity has not yet 
				been verified. Thus we have the peculiar situation of five laws 
				which appear to deny the possibility of intelligent alien 
				control of UFOs, yet three of the laws are recent in concept and 
				may not even be valid. Also, law number 2 has not yet been 
				tested under conditions of large relative speeds or 
				accelerations.  
				  
				
				We should not deny the possibility of alien 
				control of UFOs on the basis of preconceived notions not 
				established as related or relevant to the UFOs.  
  
				
				 
				33.6—Conclusion  
				 
				From available information, the UFO phenomenon appears to have 
				been global in nature for almost 50,000 years. The majority of 
				known witnesses have been reliable people who have seen 
				easily-explained natural phenomena, and there appears to be no 
				overall positive correlation with population density. The entire 
				phenomenon could be psychological in nature but that is quite 
				doubtful. However, psychological factors probably do enter the 
				data picture as "noise." The phenomenon could also be entirely 
				clue to known and unknown phenomena (with some psychological 
				noise added in) but that too is questionable in view of some of 
				the available data.  
				 
				This leaves us with the unpleasant possibility of alien visitors 
				to our planet, or at least of alien controlled UFOs. However, 
				the data are not well Suppressed Inventions and Other 
				Discoveries
				correlated, and what questionable data there are suggest the 
				existence of at least three and maybe four different groups of 
				aliens (possibly at different states of development). This too 
				is difficult to accept. It implies the existence of intelligent 
				life on a majority of the planets in our solar sys-tem, or a 
				surprisingly strong interest in Earth by members of other solar 
				systems.  
				 
				A solution to the UFO problem may be obtained by the long and 
				diligent effort of a large group of well-financed and competent 
				scientists; unfortunately there is no evidence suggesting that 
				such an effort is going to be made. However, even if such an 
				effort were made, there is no guarantee of success because of 
				the isolated and sporadic nature of the sightings. Also, there 
				may be nothing to find, and that would mean a long search with 
				no profit at the end.  
				 
				The best thing to do is to keep an open and skeptical mind, and 
				not take an extreme position on any side of the question. 
				 
			 
			
			
			
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