by Dr. Tony Phillips
June 11, 2021
from SpaceWeatherArchive Website
If you've never heard of the Termination Event, you're not alone. Many researchers have never heard of it either.
It's a relatively new idea in solar physics championed by Scott McIntosh and colleague Bob Leamon of the University of Maryland - Baltimore County.
Nevertheless, the Termination Event is a big deal.
It can kickstart the next
solar cycle into a higher gear...
Oppositely charged magnetic bands (red and blue)
march toward the sun's equator
where they annihilate one another,
kickstarting the next solar cycle.
This is, to say the least, controversial...
Most solar physicists believe that Solar Cycle 25 will be weak, akin to the anemic Solar Cycle 24 which barely peaked back in 2012-2013.
Orthodox models of the sun's inner magnetic dynamo favor a weak cycle and do not even include the concept of "terminators."
The researchers outlined their reasoning in a December 2020 paper (Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number - Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude) in the research journal Solar Physics.
Looking back over 270 years of sunspot data, they found that Terminator Events divide one solar cycle from the next, happening approximately every 11 years. Emphasis on approximately.
The interval between terminators ranges from 10 to 15 years, and this is key to predicting the solar cycle.
McIntosh and Leamon believe it will be more like
the strongest solar cycles of the past.
Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be the opposite.
Instead of a long interval, it appears to be coming on the heels of a very short one, only 10 years since the Terminator Event that began Solar Cycle 24.
Previous solar cycles
with such short intervals have been among the strongest in recorded
If the Termination Event happens soon and Solar Cycle 25 skyrockets, the "heretics" may be on to something...