by Dr. Joseph Mercola
Early November 2020, Pfizer announced its vaccine is
more than 90% effective. One week later, Moderna - which
designed its vaccine candidate in just two days -
boasted a 94.5% effectiveness rating
Clinical trial data leave out crucial information, such
as the cycle threshold used for the PCR testing, whether
"cases" had symptoms or not, and how long the vaccine
lasts if protective
of the COVID-19 trials for which we have data are
designed to find out whether the vaccine reduces
hospitalization rates or deaths. They only look at
whether it reduces symptoms if you do get infected
estimated 'number needed to vaccinate' (NNTV) for
Moderna's vaccine is 167, meaning 167 people must
receive the vaccine in order to prevent one case of
estimated NNTV for Pfizer's vaccine candidate is 256
Vaccines May Cause Massive Side Effects
COVID-19 vaccines on the precipice of mass distribution, news
media are on fire as they talk about who will get the vaccine first
and how it will be distributed.
The one thing they aren't
discussing, however, is the definition of "effective" when it comes
to these vaccines.
Early November 2020,
Pfizer sent the stock market soaring
when it announced its vaccine is more than 90% effective. 2
One week later,
Moderna - which designed its vaccine candidate in
just two days 3 - boasted a 94.5% effectiveness rating.
However, if you read Pfizer's and Moderna's press releases and other
clinical trial information, you'll see that they have left out some
really crucial information.
For example: 5
They don't say how
many cycles they used for
the PCR tests they gave to count
COVID-19 cases, which is crucial for determining the accuracy of
They don't say whether the "cases" had symptoms or not
They don't mention anything about hospitalizations or deaths,
meaning there is no indication it prevents either
There is no indication about how long the vaccine lasts if it
truly is effective and protective. Some indications suggest you
might need to take this vaccine every three to six months in
order for it to be effective...
Can Be Misleading
In an article published by the Mises Institute, Dr. Gilbert
Berdine, associate professor of medicine at Texas Tech
University Health Sciences Center, writes: 6
"The Pfizer study had
43,538 participants and was analyzed after 164 cases.
roughly 150 out 21,750 participants (less than 0.7%) became PCR
positive in the control group and about one-tenth that number in
the vaccine group became PCR positive.
The Moderna trial had 30,000 participants.
There were 95 'cases'
in the 15,000 control participants (about 0.6%) and five 'cases'
in the 15,000 vaccine participants (about one-twentieth of
0.6%). The 'efficacy' figures quoted in these announcements are
When the risks of an event are small, odds ratios can be
misleading about absolute risk.
A more meaningful measure of
efficacy would be the number [needed] to vaccinate to prevent
one hospitalization or one death. Those numbers are not
An estimate of the number [needed] to treat from the Moderna
trial to prevent a single 'case' would be 15,000 vaccinations to
prevent 90 'cases' or 167 vaccinations per 'case' prevented,
which does not sound nearly as good as 94.5% effective."
Number Needed to Vaccinate = 256
In a letter to the editor, Dr. Allan Cunningham, a retired
pediatrician in New York, also points out that Pfizer's 90%
'effectiveness' rating fails to tell the story in a way that people
can understand, and goes on to estimate the number needed to
vaccinate for Pfizer's vaccine.
He writes: 7
"Specific data are
not given but it is easy enough to approximate the numbers
involved, based on the 94 cases in a trial that has enrolled
about 40,000 subjects:
8 cases in a
vaccine group of 20,000 and 86 cases in a placebo group of
This yields a
COVID-19 attack rate of 0.0004 in the vaccine group and 0.0043
in the placebo group.
Relative risk (RR)
for vaccination = 0.093, which translates into a 'vaccine
effectiveness' of 90.7% [100(1-0.093)].
impressive, but the absolute risk reduction for an individual is
only about 0.4% (0.0043-0.0004=0.0039).
The Number Needed to Vaccinate (NNTV) = 256 (1/0.0039), which
to prevent just one COVID-19 case 256 individuals
must get the vaccine
the other 255 individuals derive no
benefit, but are subject to vaccine adverse effects, whatever
they may be and whenever we learn about them."
Questions Still Remain
Indeed, when it comes to safety, it's important to realize that
since only a few thousand verified healthy volunteers have been
exposed to the actual vaccine, the real beta testers will be the
masses of people who line up first to take the vaccines when they
come to market.
In his article, Berdine stresses he has yet to find a medical
colleague who is willing to be among the first to take the
Most say they want to
review the safety data after a year or so of use before they'll
consider getting it.
"These colleagues are
concerned about possible autoimmune side effects that may not
appear for months after vaccination," Berdine writes.
It's worth noting that
none of the trials currently underway include immuno-compromised
volunteers, so the effects of these vaccines on people with
suppressed immune function is wholly unknown.
This is a significant problem, seeing how an estimated 14.7 million
to 23.5 million Americans suffer from some form of autoimmune
disease, 8 and these people are also at increased risk
for COVID-19 complications and death.
If the vaccine exacerbates autoimmune problems, the outcome could be
devastating for an extraordinary number of people.
The volunteers currently
enrolled in trials are all healthier than the average American, yet
side effects appear commonplace even among this "elite" group.
What You Can Expect
From the COVID-19 Vaccine
An October 20, 2020, article 9 in The Observer
lists the known side effects that have emerged in the various
Chills, fever, body
aches and headache are the most commonplace, but at least two
cases of transverse myelitis - inflammation of the spinal cord -
have also occurred.
Even the U.S. Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention warns that the vaccine's side
effects are "no walk in the park," 10 and Saad Omer,
director of the Yale Institute for Global Health, has stressed the
need for a broad-based outreach campaign to discuss the reality of
side effects, as patients might not come back for the required
second dose if the side effects take them by surprise. 11
Dr. Eli Perencevich, a professor of internal medicine and
epidemiology at the University of Iowa Health Care, has suggested
essential workers should be granted three days of paid leave after
they're vaccinated, as many will feel too sick to work. 12
A December 1, 2020, CNBC article, 13 which looked at the
frequency of adverse reactions, noted that 10% to 15% of
participants in the Pfizer and Moderna trials reported
"significantly noticeable" side effects.
Buried way down at the bottom of the article is a suggestion from a
past advisory committee member, who proposes the nomenclature of
"serious adverse reaction" be changed to "immune response," so they
can reprogram how people think about these side effects, even if
they end up having to stay home from work because of them.
The article also admits they have no idea what, if any, long-term
reactions there might be, which means (as we already knew) that this
is a great big public health experiment and, of course, anything
that happens post-marketing will be labeled a "coincidence."
In related news, a participant in India's AstraZeneca trial is now
suing the company claiming the vaccine caused "serious neurological
damage," 14 and a group of researchers warn the COVID-19
vaccines could potentially increase your risk of HIV infection.
Then there are the
concerns about the COVID-19 vaccine permanently altering your DNA,
turning you into a transhuman.
As you can see, there's
a lot to consider before taking this vaccine.
Do We Really
Need a COVID-19 Vaccine?
Berdine also points out that most of his colleagues believe,
about safety exceed what they perceive to be a small benefit."17
Indeed, at this point, a
range of data suggest the COVID-19 vaccine may be completely
mortality is extremely low outside of nursing homes - 99.7%
of people recover from COVID-19.18
If you're under 60 years
of age, your chance of dying from seasonal influenza is
greater than your chance of dying from COVID-19.19
Data clearly show
that COVID-19 has not resulted in excess mortality, meaning
the same number of people who die in any given year, on
average, have died in this year of the pandemic. 20,21
This is true even
among the elderly, as evidenced in a Johns Hopkins
University article published just before Thanksgiving.
According to the
of older people stayed the same before and after
COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly,
experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths
in older age groups.
increase is not seen from the CDC data. In fact, the
percentages of deaths among all age groups remain
relatively the same."
As soon as the
article started trending on Twitter, Johns Hopkins deleted
it saying it,
used to support false and dangerous inaccuracies about
the impact of the pandemic." 23
suggest immunity against SARS-CoV-2 infection is more
widespread than suspected, thanks to cross-reactivity with
other coronaviruses that cause the common cold.
Asymptomatic people are highly unlikely to spread
looking at PCR test data from nearly 10 million
residents in Wuhan city found that not a single one of
those who had been in close contact with an asymptomatic
individual (someone who tested positive but had no
symptoms) had been infected with the virus.
instances, virus cultures from people who tested
positive but had no symptoms also came up negative for
Will COVID-19 Vaccine
associate editor of The BMJ, also questions the effectiveness of the
COVID-19 vaccines, pointing out that current trials are not designed
to tell us whether the vaccines will actually save lives.
And, if they don't,
are they really worth the risks involved?
"What will it mean exactly when a
vaccine is declared 'effective'? To the public this seems fairly
obvious. 'The primary goal of a COVID-19 vaccine is to keep
people from getting very sick and dying,' a National Public
Radio broadcast said bluntly...
Yet the current phase III trials
are not actually set up to prove either. None of the trials
currently under way are designed to detect a reduction in any
serious outcome such as hospital admissions, use of intensive
care, or deaths. Nor are the vaccines being studied to determine
whether they can interrupt transmission of the virus."
Doshi points out
that when Dr. Paul Offit was asked in an interview whether a
recorded "event" in these trials meant moderate to severe illness,
he replied yes, "that's right."
But that's not, in fact, correct...
All Phase 3 trials
count mild symptoms, such as a cough, as a "COVID-19 event," and all
will finalize their analyses after a mere 150 or 160 of the
volunteers develop symptomatic COVID-19 - regardless of severity.
"Part of the reason may be
numbers. Severe illness requiring hospital admission, which
happens in only a small fraction of symptomatic COVID-19 cases,
would be unlikely to occur in significant numbers in trials.
Data published by the U.S. Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention in late April reported a
symptomatic case hospitalization ratio of 3.4% overall, varying
from 1.7% in 0-49 year olds and 4.5% in 50-64 year olds to 7.4%
in those 65 and over.
Because most people with
symptomatic COVID-19 experience only mild symptoms even trials
involving 30,000 or more patients would turn up relatively few
cases of severe disease,"
"Hospital admissions and deaths
from COVID-19 are simply too uncommon in the population being
studied for an effective vaccine to demonstrate statistically
significant differences in a trial of 30,000 people."
These trials also
do not tell us anything about the vaccine's ability to prevent
transmission, as this would require testing volunteers twice a week
for long periods of time - a strategy that is "operationally
untenable," according to Tal Zaks, chief medical officer at Moderna.
COVID-19 Vaccine Poses
Rare Distribution Challenges
Questions have also
been raised about the potential for the COVID-19 vaccines to "go
bad" due to improper storage.
vaccine has to be stored at an unheard of cold temperature even for
Antarctica - minus 70 degrees Celsius, or 94 degrees below zero,
Moderna's can be
kept a bit warmer, at "just" minus 20ºC, or 4º below zero F.
Both pose a problem
for providers who will be administering the shots.
To get an idea of
why the vaccines have to be frozen, NPR compares them to chocolates
that melt easily. 36
The reason the
vaccines are so fragile is because they're made with messenger RNA
(mRNA), which turn your own cells into little factories that produce
SARS-CoV-2 protein that in turn trigger antibody production.
The problem is that
mRNA is easily broken down, so it needs the freezing temperatures to
keep stable. Pfizer said its special packaging keeps the vaccines
frozen with the help of dry ice.
Even so, providers
will still have to abide by strict guidelines, one of which says the
freezer compartment storing the vaccines cannot be opened more than
twice a day, and when opened, must be closed within one minute. Once
thawed, the vaccine can be kept refrigerated for five days.
The whole situation
makes distribution a challenge, too since the smallest amount you
can order is 975 doses.
That means the
vaccines most likely will have to go to places capable of
administering large numbers of vaccines in a short period of time to
What happens if the
vaccine is mishandled and spoils? No one knows.
At best, it may
At worst, it
may cause completely unexpected side effects.
The Gold Rush of
Vaccines and Indemnity
The risk of side effects
is particularly troubling in light of the fact that vaccine
manufacturers are indemnified against any harm that occurs from the
use of their vaccines.
In the video above,
Children's Health Defense (CHD), founded by Robert F. Kennedy Jr.,
highlights the gold rush that occurred for pharmaceutical companies
when the World Health Organization (WHO) declared swine flu a pandemic in
the swine flu vaccine Pandemrix (used in Europe but not in
the U.S. during 2009-2010) was causally linked to childhood
Several experimental vaccines were hastily rushed to market
following the WHO's pandemic declaration, one of which resulted in
thousands of European children and teens developing chronic
narcolepsy and cataplexy (the sudden collapse due to loss of
voluntary muscle control triggered by strong emotions or laughter).
In 2011, the ASO3-adjuvanted swine flu vaccine Pandemrix (used in
Europe but not in the U.S. during 2009-2010) was causally linked
37 to childhood narcolepsy, which had abruptly
skyrocketed in several countries. 38,39
Children and teens in
Finland, 40 the U.K. 41 and Sweden 42
were among the hardest hit.
Further analyses also discerned a rise in narcolepsy among adults
who received the vaccine, although the link wasn't as obvious as
that in children and adolescents. 43
A 2019 study 44 reported finding a,
between Pandemrix-associated narcolepsy and the non-coding RNA gene
...a gene thought to regulate the production of
line-derived neurotrophic factor or GDNF, a protein that plays an
important role in neuronal survival.
They also confirmed a strong association between vaccine-induced
narcolepsy and a certain haplotype, suggesting,
"variation in genes
related to immunity and neuronal survival may interact to
increase the susceptibility to Pandemrix-induced narcolepsy in
Now, in the midst of
another controversial pandemic, we're facing an eerily similar
with pharmaceutical companies eager to cash in on the
first COVID-19 vaccine, which begs the question,
"Are we being
played - again...?"
Not the First
Hoax - Practice Makes Perfect
Pandemics have come and gone around the globe for centuries, but in
recent history they've been used as points of manipulation that have
profited corporations, particularly pharmaceutical companies.
The 2005 bird flu
epidemic, for example, was predicted to kill from 2 million to 150
million people. It killed just 98 people, globally, in 2005, 115 in
2006 and 86 in 2007. 45
No one in the U.S. died
from this infection. The brazenness of the hoax prompted me to write
my New York Times best seller book "The Great Bird Flu Hoax."
In 2006, 2007 and again in 2008, hyped warnings over the bird flu
were repeatedly exposed as little more than a cruel hoax, designed
to instill fear and line the pocketbooks of industry and various
In 2009, there was the
swine flu hoax, the vaccination campaign for which, as mentioned,
turned into a disaster.
The summer of 2012 was again filled with dire predictions of bird
flu sufficiently mutating to cause a human pandemic, immediately
followed by urgent calls for fast-tracked vaccines.
More information at "Influenza
- Virus H1N1 - Unintentional Contamination or Bioterrorism?".
None of these
pandemics ever turned into global killers, and COVID-19 is no
As mentioned earlier,
there's no evidence of excess deaths due to this novel virus.
The COVID-19 pandemic differs from previous ones, however, in that
it's being used not just to enrich drug companies and justify the
existence of gain-of-function research, but also,
to usher in
"reset" of the entire global economy by the technocrats...
While failing economies
around the world are blamed on the pandemic,
the central bank system
has been faltering for some time and is now on its last leg.
The global debt load is now so high, countries cannot even pay off
the interest, and thus the system no longer works.
It needs to be
"reset," but rather than ditching the central bank system and
resetting it to something stable (such as returning to a gold-backed
system), the technocrats in charge are ushering in an all-digital
centralized currency that will give them total control over the
finances of every human on earth.
What's more, the economic reset is only one part of this
all-encompassing totalitarian takeover.
The COVID-19 vaccine fits
into the scheme by providing an excuse to track and trace everyone's
connect this medical surveillance together with the
Accountability for Vaccine Harms
As noted by Barbara Loe Fisher, co-founder of the National
Vaccine Information Center (NVIC), based on the historical
failures of past coronavirus vaccines, a fast-tracked COVID-19
vaccine could become one of the biggest public health disasters in
And, no one involved will be held accountable or face any
repercussions, just as GlaxoSmithKline was not held accountable for
the narcolepsy cases caused by
Instead, they will all
continue to profit while an unsuspecting public will beta test yet
another potentially dangerous vaccine.
Even if severe side effects are rare, when you're talking about
vaccinating some 7 billion people, even a tiny percentage will
translate into millions of people affected.
One of the Most
Powerful Videos I've Ever Seen
The following video from Barbara Loe Fisher is one of the most
powerful videos that I have ever seen. I am hopeful that watching
this video will inspire you to take up the cause and join the fight
for vaccine freedom and independence.
There is a cultural war and collusion between many industries and
federal regulatory agencies that results in a suppression of the
truth about vital important health issues.
If this suppression
continues we will gradually and progressively erode our private
individual rights that our ancestors fought so hard to achieve.
Please take a few
minutes to watch this video:
Right to Informed Consent and Defend Vaccine Exemptions
With all the uncertainty surrounding the safety and efficacy of
vaccines, it's critical to protect your right to make independent
health choices and exercise voluntary informed consent to
It is urgent that
everyone in America stand up and fight to protect and expand vaccine
informed consent protections in state public health and employment
The best way to do
this is to get personally involved with your state legislators and
educate the leaders in your community.
Think Globally, Act Locally
National vaccine policy recommendations are made at the federal
level but vaccine laws are made at the state level. It is at the
state level where your action to protect your vaccine choice rights
can have the greatest impact.
It is critical for EVERYONE to get involved now in standing up for
the legal right to make voluntary vaccine choices in America because
those choices are being threatened by lobbyists representing drug
companies, medical trade associations and public health officials,
who are trying to persuade legislators to strip all vaccine
exemptions from public health laws.
Signing up for NVIC's free Advocacy Portal at
gives you immediate, easy access to your own state legislators on
your smartphone or computer so you can make your voice heard.
You will be kept up
to date on the latest state bills threatening your vaccine choice
rights and will get practical, useful information to help you become
an effective vaccine choice advocate in your own community.
Also, when national vaccine issues come up, you will have the
up-to-date information and call-to-action items you need at your
Story With the Media and People You Know
If you or a family member has suffered a serious vaccine reaction,
injury or death, please talk about it.
If we don't share
information and experiences with one another, everybody feels alone
and afraid to speak up. Write a letter to the editor if you have a
different perspective on a vaccine story that appears in your local
Make a call in to a
radio talk show that is presenting only one side of the vaccine
I must be frank with you: You have to be brave because you might be
strongly criticized for daring to talk about the "other side" of the
vaccine story. Be prepared for it and have the courage to not back
Only by sharing our
perspective and what we know to be true about vaccination will the
public conversation about vaccination open up so people are not
afraid to talk about it.
We cannot allow the drug companies and medical trade associations
funded by drug companies or public health officials promoting forced
use of a growing list of vaccines to dominate the conversation about
The vaccine injured cannot be swept under the carpet and treated
like nothing more than "statistically acceptable collateral damage"
of national one-size-fits-all mandatory vaccination policies that
put way too many people at risk for injury and death.
We shouldn't be
treating people like guinea pigs instead of human beings.
Internet Resources Where
You Can Learn More
I encourage you to
visit the website of the nonprofit charity, the National Vaccine
Information Center (NVIC), at
Vaccine Requirements and
Exemptions by State
- Vaccine laws vary from one U.S. state to another. By
knowing the specific policies where you live, you'll learn
how you can get exemptions and better protect your right to
make informed vaccine choices.
NVIC Memorial for Vaccine
View descriptions and photos of children and adults who have
suffered vaccine reactions, injuries and deaths. If you or
your child experiences an adverse vaccine event, please
consider posting and sharing your story here.
If You Vaccinate, Ask 8
- Learn how to recognize vaccine reaction symptoms and
prevent vaccine injuries.
Vaccine Freedom Wall
- View or post
descriptions of harassment and sanctions by doctors,
employers and school and health officials for making
independent vaccine choices.
Vaccine Failure Wall
- View or post descriptions about vaccines that have failed
to work and protect the vaccinated from disease.
Sources and References
1 - Axios
November 9, 2020
2 - NPR
November 9, 2020
3 - Business
Insider November 26, 2020
4 - NPR
November 16, 2020
5, 6, 17
Institute November 24, 2020
7 - The
BMJ Letter to the Editor November 13, 2020
8 - Autoimmune
Registry, Estimates of Prevalence
9 - Observer
October 20, 2020
10 - The
Hill November 24, 2020
Health News November 12, 2020
13 - CNBC
December 1, 2020
14 - RT
November 29, 2020
15 - Forbes
October 20, 2020
16 - The
Vaccine Reaction September 29, 2020
of Internal Medicine September 2, 2020 DOI: 10.7326/M20-5352
20 - YouTube,
SARS-CoV-2 and the rise of medical technocracy, Lee Merritt,
MD, aprox 8 minutes in (Lie No. 1: Death Risk)
Technical Report June 2020 DOI:
22 - Johns
Hopkins Newsletter November 26, 2020 (Archived)
23 - Twitter
JHU News-Letter November 26, 2020
24 - Cell
June 25, 2020; 181(7): 1489-1501.E15
25 - Wall
Street Journal June 12, 2020 (Archived)
26 - Nature
Immunology September 30, 2020 DOI:
27 - The
Lancet Microbe September 4, 2020 DOI:
28 - UPI
September 4, 2020
29 - Nature
July 15, 2020; 584: 457-462
30 - Daily
Mail June 12, 2020
31 - Science
Times June 12, 2020
32 - Nature
Communications November 20, 2020; 11 Article number 5917
33, 34, 35
November 17, 2020
June 30, 2011; 16(26)
38 - European
Centre for Disease Prevention and Control September 20, 2012
January 30, 2013
40 - PLoS
41 - BMJ
44 - EBioMedicine.
2019 Feb; 40: 595–604
45 - AIER
March 22, 2020