by Stacey Rudin
Stacey Rudin is a litigator active in the grassroots
movement to preserve full-time, in-classroom education
can find her work on Medium.
From the beginning of time, humans have used mythology to make sense
of a chaotic natural world.
Sir G.L. Gomme
"the science of a
pre-scientific people a comforting sense of control over nature.
To address dry spells,
they deployed rain dances.
Sunless stretches hindering crops
prompted offerings to Helios.
Then, our ancestors sat back and
waited. The rains always came.
The sun always
reappeared, validating their "wisdom," the illusion of control
Thanks to science, we know this was pure superstition.
same outcomes would have occurred had the tribe taken no action, the
tribe leader would still have received credit or blame from his
politicians race to take credit - or place blame -
Do politicians really control these outcomes, or are they
simply exploiting our ingrained tendencies...?
When China first
deployed lockdown in January to "defeat COVID-19," The Washington
Post approvingly quoted a Georgetown University professor (Lawrence
"The truth is
those kinds of lockdowns are very rare and never effective…"
In March, Imperial
College London's dire projections influenced the White House, but a
careful reading of the advice contained in the Imperial College
report reveals that its authors knew lockdown alone could not
eliminate any infections, only delay them:
successful a strategy is at temporary suppression,"
it stated, "the larger the later epidemic is predicted to be
in the absence of vaccination, due to lesser build-up of herd
Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention pandemic planning documents state
non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing,
ineffective once a disease infects 1% of a region's population.
Literature on this
subject is unanimous worldwide.
According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and
"There are no
historical observations or scientific studies that support the
confinement by quarantine of groups of possibly infected people
for extended periods in order to slow the spread.
It is hard to
imagine that measures like those within the category of social
distancing would not have some positive impact by reducing
transmission of a human respiratory infection...
evidence base supporting each individual measure is often
Decades of evidence
In 1969, a group of
men overwintering in Antarctica experienced a spontaneous
respiratory virus outbreak during their 17th week of
Similarly, COVID-19 appeared on an Argentinean naval ship on the
35th day of its voyage, following a 14-day isolation of
captain and crew.
Nature always finds
No respiratory virus ever needed a "lockdown" to dissipate.
What it needs is
herd immunity, preferably sooner than later, preferably
developed by the young and healthy to minimize mortality.
the disease will eventually leave, yet they strive to,
critical mass that their actions - modern-day versions of the rain
dance - brought about that result...
They count on us
behaving like renowned psychologist B.F. Skinner's
"A pigeon is…
put into a cage.
A food hopper
may be swung into place… so that the pigeon can eat from it… If
a clock is [set] to present the hopper at regular intervals with
no reference whatsoever to the bird's behavior, operant
conditioning usually takes place.
The bird tends
to learn whatever response it is making when the hopper appears.
experiment might be said to demonstrate a sort of
behaves as if there were a causal relation between its behavior
and the presentation of food, although such a relation is
data shows no causal relationship between government orders and
COVID-19 mortality outcomes...
all-cause, per-capita mortality for 2020 is approximately 290
per million above the prior five-year average,
lockdown-loving New Jersey's is almost 1,900 per million above
the prior five-year average, and
Michigan's is over 700 per million.
(In case you
Sweden "naturally" locked down on its own, mobility data
reveals it didn't.)
media does not report this.
energetic smearing of Sweden, coupled with its pseudo-scientific
insistence that lockdowns do anything more than delay the
inevitable, helps politicians exploit the human tendency to
We are faced
with a virus with a 997-out-of-1,000 survival rate.
vanquished fiercer adversaries.
We can rid
ourselves of this plague less painfully by remembering one
nor our politicians, have control over death...