by Matt Simon
March 17, 2020

from Wired Website

Spanish version

Italian version


Photograph: Antonio Masiello

Getty Images




The country has

the second-oldest population on earth,

and its young mingle more often

with elderly loved ones...


With the world descending deeper and deeper into coronavirus chaos, we all face unnerving unknowns:

how long we'll have to remain in isolation, when the pandemic will peak, the depths to which the stock market will tumble.

But what's abundantly clear is that this novel disease is most deadly for the elderly.

The young may not present any symptoms at all, and this is especially dangerous to their elders, because they can pass the virus on to them without realizing it.


Italy has been hit particularly hard, with some 2,000 deaths thus far (March 17).


Overwhelmed hospital staffers have had to make devastating decisions about who to treat and who they must let perish.

The reason why Italy is suffering so badly, write University of Oxford researchers in a new paper (Demographic Science Aids in Understanding the Spread and Fatality rates of COVID-19) in the journal Demographic Science, may be twofold:

The country has the second-oldest population on earth, and its young tend to mingle more often with the elderly, like their grandparents.

Such demographic research will be critical in facing down the threat elsewhere, as more countries grapple with a deadly pandemic that's just getting started and we learn more about how the virus is transmitted within families and communities.


In Italy, 23 percent of the population is over age 65, compared to the US, where that population is 16 percent.

"Extended longevity has played some role in changing the population structure," says University of Oxford demographer and epidemiologist Jennifer Beam Dowd, lead author of the new paper.


"But it actually has most to do with how rapid the decline in fertility has been in a population."

That is, it's affected more by Italians having having fewer children than it is by them living longer.


At the same time, young Italians tend to interact a lot with their elders. Jennifer Beam Dowd's Italian coauthors note that young folks might live with their parents and grandparents in rural areas but commute to work in cities like Milan.


Data on the composition of Italian households bears out this familial arrangement too.


The study's authors argue that this frequent travel between cities and family homes may have exacerbated the "silent" spread of the novel coronavirus.


Young people working and socializing in urban areas interact with large crowds, where they may pick up the disease and take it home.


If they have no symptoms, they'll have no clue that they're infecting their elders, the most vulnerable population.

"We know now that the mortality is higher in older individuals, but what's not clear yet is why," says Carlos Del Rio, executive associate dean of the Emory School of Medicine at Grady Health System, who wasn't involved in this research.

For example, it could be a matter of older people having weaker respiratory systems, which could also lead to a higher mortality rate among seniors for diseases like pneumonia.


Other researchers studying why children don't seem to get that sick from Covid-19 have pointed out the corollary:

Kids tend to have "pristine" lungs that have not already been damaged by a lifetime of inflammation caused by allergies, pollutants, and diseases.

This might make them more resistant to attack by the new virus.


Despite a full lockdown in place in Italy since the weekend, the virus has already spread far and wide.


But with this kind of demographic knowledge, public health officials can better confront the threat elsewhere, Jennifer Beam Dowd says.

"One of the points that we were trying to make is that it's not necessarily just about isolating the older population - we are identifying that they're the most vulnerable - but the general social distancing that's being encouraged to flatten the curve," says Dowd.

Flattening the curve means,

  • slowing the rate of new infections

  • buying researchers time to develop treatments and vaccines

  • giving hospitals some respite


"I think our point was that's actually more important when you have a higher fraction of your population that is vulnerable," she says.




But while separating younger and older people might work in theory, it can create practical problems.


For example,

desperate to flatten the curve, local officials in the US are closing schools.


If parents can't look after their children - because they're still working out of the home, or because they're ill themselves - that care might fall on grandparents.

To complicate matters even further, a study in Italy doesn't exactly track with what we might expect in a massive country like the US, where the demographics vary greatly from place to place.


Some cities might have far more young people than seniors, and some suburbs are likely just the opposite.


Or think about Florida and its masses of retirees.

"Florida is like an uber-Italy," says Andrew Noymer, a demographer at the University of California, Irvine, who wasn't involved in this research.


"Florida is going to be a tough situation, I would predict."

In a place with so many elderly people, many of them living close together in retirement homes, social distancing will be extra important to avoid disaster.

"It's not destiny to say Florida is going to be absolutely clobbered by this," Noymer says.


"There is time with social distancing to flatten the peak. Maybe we can make this the dog that didn't bark, so to speak."

An aging population doesn't have to mean a devastating Covid-19 outbreak.


In Japan, where over 28 percent of the population is over age 65, by March 16 there had been only 814 confirmed cases and 24 deaths, compared with Italy's 24,747 cases and 1,809 deaths, according to WHO figures.


Japan, along with neighbors including Hong Kong and Singapore, had rapidly ramped up testing in the early days of the outbreak and instituted strict travel controls.


But Dowd says we can use Italy's example to take practical steps in fighting the pandemic.


We might pinpoint areas with older populations and try,

"to anticipate a little bit where the burden of care is going to be the most severe."

After a long delay in the rollout of mass testing in the US, on Friday the FDA approved the use of two commercial coronavirus tests. This may help Americans keep infected young people and healthy elders apart.


In the meantime, if you want to check in with your grandparents, do it by phone.





Italian Government Study

99% of their Coronavirus Fatalities were Already Sick - Half Diagnosed with 3 or More Diseases
by GreenMedInfo Research Group

March 19, 2020
from GreenMedInfo Website

Spanish version

Italian version



For video, click above image...



Serious doubts about the accuracy of COVID-19 testing methods, results, mortality rates, and the supposedly unique and extreme lethality of this virus are starting to emerge, even within mainstream media and government reporting.


A recent study released by Italy's national health authority (Report sulle Caratteristiche dei Pazienti Deceduti Positivi a COVID-19 in Italia) found that nearly everyone who was pronounced dead from COVID-19 was already struggling with serious chronic disease(s).


A recent article in Bloomberg titled, "99% of those Who Died from Virus had Other Illness, Italy says," illustrates an overlooked point in the corona-panic taking the world by storm:

the status of one's immune system and overall health determines morbidity and mortality, and likely your susceptibility to infection in the first place. 

The study found that, 

"More than 99% of Italy's coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions, according to a study by the country's national health authority."


"The Rome-based institute has examined medical records of about 18% of the country's coronavirus fatalities, finding that just three victims, or 0.8% of the total, had no previous pathology.


Almost half of the victims suffered from at least three prior illnesses and about a fourth had either one or two previous conditions.


More than 75% had high blood pressure, about 35% had diabetes and a third suffered from heart disease."

The Bloomberg article also pointed out that the primary threat is to the elderly (the average age of someone who died was 79.5) and that the fatality rate may have been significantly overblown:

instead of 8%, the fatality rate may, in fact, be closer to the global average of about 2%.

"The median age of the infected is 63 but most of those who die are older.


The average age of those who've died from the virus in Italy is 79.5. As of March 17, 17 people under 50 had died from the disease.


All of Italy's victims under 40 have been males with serious existing medical conditions.


While data released Tuesday points to a slowdown in the increase of cases, with a 12.6% rise, a separate study shows Italy could be underestimating the real number of cases by testing only patients presenting symptoms.


According to the GIMBE Foundation, about 100,000 Italians have contracted the virus, daily Il Sole 24 Ore reported.


That would bring back the country's death rate closer to the global average of about 2%." 

This new report challenges much of the global reporting on the topic which presents a unilateral narrative that simply being exposed (within six feet) to someone who may have tested positive for the virus is life-threatening, independent of one's health status and other precautions one might take, such as supporting one's immune system.


Elderly people, already experiencing polypharmacy for multiple life-threatening diagnoses for chronic diseases, are highly susceptible to opportunistic infections due to their chronic conditions, the adverse effects of pharmaceuticals, and subsequently weakened immune systems.





Blaming a single virus for causing their deaths is not evidence-based, nor does it fulfill the basic postulates established by 19th-century German physician Robert Koch to ascertain whether a singular virus can cause a singular disease.


There are a wide range of viruses that can cause the symptoms associated with COVID-19 infection, which include the several hundred different influenza viruses known to play a role in seasonal flu.


It's also known that the Coronavirus family of viruses contain over a hundred different strains, seven of which cause the common cold.


Some of these viruses exist naturally within the human virome, and never express themselves pathogenically, but will potentially cause false positives through the many different COVID-19 testing methods being used today. 





Indeed, assuming the original source point of this supposedly novel form of infection came from Wuhan, it doesn't appear that the claimed singular causative agent - COVID-19 - was ever properly identified, purified, and characterized in multiple humans suffering from the disease (nor was its absence determined in healthy humans).


This would be required, as we pointed out recently in Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg's testimony, in order to fulfill step one of Koch's four postulates, which would demonstrate scientifically that a singular microorganism like a bacteria or virus is the causative agent behind a disease (the most basic tenet of germ theory).


Based on the testimony of Dr. Wodarg, the gold standard would have required,

the purification of the virus and characterizing it via electron microscope technology, as well as establishing an effective and independently verified virus testing method (which would have required using PCR-reverse transcriptase testing within multiple cases of those suffering from the identical disease) - two things, it appears, were never done; or at least not reproduced and therefore validated independently through other laboratories and medical institutions.

Nor were any of the remaining three Koch postulates fulfilled: 

  1. The microorganism must be found in abundance in all organisms suffering from the disease, but should not be found in healthy organisms.

  2. The microorganism must be isolated from a diseased organism and grown in pure culture.

  3. The cultured microorganism should cause disease when introduced into a healthy organism.

  4. The microorganism must be re-isolated from the inoculated, diseased experimental host and identified as being identical to the original specific causative agent.

Until an original singular causative agent can be identified through multiple cases, and that agent can be purified and proven to cause the same disease in animals, and then re-purified to establish it is indeed the cause in humans,

much of what we are hearing are "confirmed cases" and "COVID-19 fatalities" may be inaccurate, and further fanning the flames of fear, panic, and global instability...


Italy Averages 23,000 Flu Deaths Per Year

by tonyheller
March 20, 2020

from RealClimateScience Website

Spanish version

Italian version


Italy has had 3,400 COVID-19 deaths. They average nearly 23,000 flu deaths per year...


Full report:

Investigating the impact of influenza on excess mortality in all ages in Italy during recent seasons

Flu typically rises exponentially, and then drops off nearly as fast once everyone is exposed, or the behavior of the virus changes due to weather, etc.


This time, government will claim "it was 'their' draconian actions" which caused it to fall.

Spanish flu - Wikipedia
That above pattern

is also what happened in

South Korea and China with COVID-19...